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Re: The BoneHead Compendium, Vol 22
Date Edited: 28 Apr 2004 11:32:02 AM
On your second point; in fact, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has very solid numbers on this. And they do have measures of the "discouraged" workers who, in fact, have removed themselves from the workforce for some reason (514,000 in March, www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm). These workers affect the unemployment rate positively by artificially decreasing the rate as they detach themselves from the labor force.
Here are the numbers for the month of March:
Change in Payroll Employment:
+308,000(p) in Mar 2004
Change in Average Hourly Earnings:
+$0.02(p) in Mar 2004
Change in Average Weekly Hours:
-0.1(p) in Mar 2004
Change in Manufacturing Average Weekly Hours:
-0.1(p) in Mar 2004
Change in Aggregate Hours Index:
-0.1(p) in Mar 2004
Change in Real Earnings:
-$0.03(p) in Mar 2004
Very interesting, wouldn't you say? While the White House is flapping the first number all over the place, they want everyone to ignore the fact that every other metric of employment has dropped, from hours worked to real earnings, as we continue the seemingly inexorable slide toward a Wal-Mart economy. The unemployment figures can be really confusing and lets look at those:
Unemployment Rate:
5.7% in Mar 2004
Change in Unemployment Level:
+182,000 in Mar 2004
Change in Employment Level:
-3,000 in Mar 2004
Which indicates that while payroll employment is up, unemployment is up, too, and the overall employment level actually fell. This is supposed to be encouraging? The BLS also notes in it's summary (an interesting little read by the way, www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm) that the unemployment was steady. 308,000 new jobs! the White House proudly trumpets, while the number of unemployed remains constant. Confused yet?
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